How do we monitor growth?

The Growth Dashboard is published quarterly and brings together information from council, government agencies and the private sector, and is used to provide insight into what is occurring in our district.

March 2021(PDF, 2MB)
November 2020(PDF, 1MB)
September 2020(PDF, 2MB)
March 2020(PDF, 2MB)
December 2019(PDF, 3MB)
September 2019(PDF, 2MB)

Council also contracts the Horowhenua New Zealand Trust to provide quarterly economic reports – the reports can be found on The Horowhenua Company Ltd (THCL) website

Census and Statistics New Zealand

Image containing Census Statistics and MBIE estimate for the Horowhenua District - updated March 2021.

How do we predict growth?

Independent prediction

In 2020, Sense Partners reviewed its predictions in light of COVID-19 and because growth was occurring at a faster rate than predicted.

Population growth for the Horowhenua District - January 2021.

Background

In 2017, Sense Partners completed the Horowhenua Socio-Economic Predictions report. The report included several predictions for growth. Council considered the report and agreed to take a middle of the road approach to growth adopting the 50th Percentile, which anticipated growth of just 0.8% per annum.

However, since 2015, the growth rate has outstripped predictions and instead is coming in at around the 95th Percentile.

The Sense Partners reports can be viewed below.

Horowhenua Growth Scenarios - Economic Strategy Workshop (June 2020)(PDF, 1018KB)
Horowhenua Socio-Economic projections - Summary and Methods (May 2020)(PDF, 1MB)
Horowhenua Socio-Economic projections - Summary and Methods (July 2017)(PDF, 1MB)

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